Democrats Could Be Heading to Brokered Convention!

( – The Democrats could be heading to a brokered convention, amidst an Iowa caucus debacle that hasn’t ended even though the results are in, and campaigners still claim that there’s a plan to rob Bernie Sanders of the nomination.

As if things weren’t bad enough for the Democrats right now, the data suggests that they may well be on their way to a brokered convention – meaning there will be no clear winner for the nomination. The last time there was a very real possibility of a brokered convention was during the 2016 race when Republicans weren’t completely behind then-candidate Donald Trump.

This time, according to Five Thirty Eight, Bernie Sanders has a 37% chance of winning the nomination, followed by “no one” in second place at 27%.

Yes, you read that right!

Before Biden, Warren, and Buttigieg, it is more likely that hypothetical candidate “no one” will win the candidacy. That means the second most likely result of the Democratic caucuses and primaries is a brokered convention that will trigger complicated rules that would determine the eventual candidate.

The fact that Bernie Sanders is the most likely to win the nomination, after narrowly winning the Iowa caucus (or at least, so we’re told!), is interesting in itself. Last time, Bernie was the second favorite behind failed candidate Hillary Clinton. This time, he is heads and shoulders above establishment candidates and even former Vice President Joe Biden.

Sanders could be disastrous for the Democratic Party, in the same way socialist Jeremy Corbyn was for the Labour Party in the United Kingdom’s latest General Election. However, a brokered convention could be even worse. In the event that this happens, Bernie Sanders is likely to have the most candidates but not reach the threshold of 2015 required to become the nominee.

When this happens, candidates begin discussing, debating, and even trading between themselves. They may choose to crown the winner of the most delegates, Sanders, as the winner. It might also end up with a battle between the other candidates over who should step down, and how better to distribute delegates in a way that beats Sanders. If that happens, it will create a deeper resentment for the DNC machine by Sanders supporters who already feel like they were robbed of the 2016 nomination.